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Murphy Oil (MUR) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

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For the quarter ended September 2025, Murphy Oil (MUR - Free Report) reported revenue of $732.99 million, down 3.3% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.41, compared to $0.74 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $664.71 million, representing a surprise of +10.27%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +156.25%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.16.

While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.

Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.

Here is how Murphy Oil performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
  • Production - Net crude oil and condensate - Barrels per day - Total: 100.07 thousands of barrels of oil per day versus 94.24 thousands of barrels of oil per day estimated by six analysts on average.
  • Production - Net natural gas liquids - Barrels per day - Total: 12.98 thousands of barrels of oil per day versus 10.87 thousands of barrels of oil per day estimated by six analysts on average.
  • Production - Net natural gas - including NCI - cubic feet per day - Total: 563.32 millions of cubic feet per day versus 542.78 millions of cubic feet per day estimated by six analysts on average.
  • Total net hydrocarbons - excluding NCI: 200.38 KBOE/D versus 195.07 KBOE/D estimated by six analysts on average.
  • Production - Net natural gas - including NCI - cubic feet per day - Onshore - United States: 39.41 millions of cubic feet per day compared to the 34.88 millions of cubic feet per day average estimate based on four analysts.
  • Revenues- Exploration and production- Canada: $108 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $130.91 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of -31.6%.
  • Revenues- Exploration and production- United States: $613.7 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $518.38 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +2.8%.
  • Net natural gas revenue- Total: $78.42 million compared to the $87.82 million average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of +11% year over year.
  • Revenues and other income- Revenue from sales to customers- Revenue from production: $720.97 million versus $650.57 million estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -4.3% change.
  • Revenues and other income- Revenue from sales to customers- Total: $720.97 million versus $646.45 million estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -4.3% change.
  • Net natural gas liquids revenue- Total: $23.18 million versus $24.54 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +13.9% change.
  • Net crude oil and condensate revenue- Total: $619.37 million versus $536.73 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -6.5% change.

View all Key Company Metrics for Murphy Oil here>>>

Shares of Murphy Oil have returned +6.1% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -1.8% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

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